Edition 23014

The Fed, Recap The Trial, Zillows $400 Million Acquisition, November Rates and Bitcoin

Thank You so much for opening this email and taking 5 minutes to read my newsletter. I hope you find some helpful value from todays read where we touch on The Fed, Recap The Trial, Zillows $400 Million Acquisition, November Rates and Bitcoin.

p.s. If you find any value here today, all I ask is you share this newsletter with your industry sphere. Much Appreciated ~TB

Fed's Latest Move: Steady Rates Amidst Economic Highs and Lows!

So, the Federal Reserve, they're playing it cool, keeping their benchmark interest rates steady. They're looking at the big picture: a strong economy, solid job growth, and inflation that's still a bit too hot for comfort. They've hit the pause button, keeping the primary federal funds rate locked in at 5.25%-5.5%, the same since July. This is the second meeting in a row where they've held rates steady after a series of 11 rate hikes, four of which were in 2023 alone.

Now, the Fed's got a slightly sunnier view of the economy. They're talking about a "strong pace" of economic activity in the third quarter, a step up from their previous "solid pace" comment. And even though job growth has slowed down a bit since the start of the year, it's still going strong.

But here's the twist: the housing sector is hitting a bit of a wall. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell mentioned that the housing sector has "flattened out." And when it comes to another rate hike, he's hinting that things would have to get pretty rough for that to be off the table. The housing market is feeling the squeeze, and Powell's saying the impact could be significant.

Mike Fratantoni, the SVP and Chief Economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association, he's looking for a rate cut down the line. With mortgage rates hovering near 8% and a tight inventory, affordability is taking a hit, even as new home construction is picking up the pace. Fratantoni's forecasting that if the Fed signals a rate cut next year, mortgage rates should start to trend downward, giving the spring housing market a bit of a boost. But he's also waving a caution flag, pointing out the risks of an economic slowdown in the first half of next year. And let's not forget the heavy debt issuance from the Treasury, thanks to those large and rising federal deficits, which is also pushing rates higher.

Marty Green, a principal in Polunsky Beitel Green, he's seeing risk too. With treasury yields on the rise and mortgage rates at a 20+ year high, he's saying the Fed's decision to hold steady was the only sensible play.

The markets have been doing the heavy lifting for the Fed, with the rise in rates for treasuries and mortgages acting like another interest rate increase. Green's pointing out the lag effect of the Fed's policy decisions, with the economy still absorbing the impact of earlier moves, even as the Fed stands pat. He's betting that the Fed is done raising rates in this cycle and hoping that another interest rate pause means some relief for the mortgage industry in 2024.

Get the Scoop! The Real Estate Rumble: Inside the Sitzer/Burnett Verdict That's Flippin' the Industry Upside Down!

Aight, y'all, let's break it down Katt style. So, check it, the real estate game just got flipped on its head, you feel me? We talkin' 'bout the Sitzer/Burnett trial, where the jury was out for like two hours and 28 minutes, and they came back with a verdict that hit the industry like a ton of bricks. My man Byron Lazine, he went live for 90 minutes, droppin' the bomb that the plaintiffs got awarded a whopping $1.785 billion in damages. Yeah, you heard that right, billion with a "B"!

Now, Byron, he's invitin' folks to chime in, and the phone lines are blowin' up. We got Tim Macy from Real Brokerage poppin' in, talkin' 'bout how Gary Keller was on the stand, gettin' grilled like a cheese sandwich. But the real tea is how the jury, bless their hearts, probably didn't get the whole picture 'bout how the real estate commission system gets down.

Then we got some shade thrown at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), with folks sayin' they talkin' down to the jury like they're school kids. And you know what? That jury clapped back with a verdict faster than you can say "damages calculator."

Now, real estate agents, they're resilient, like roaches after the apocalypse, you know? They're ready to roll with the punches. But there's some real talk 'bout needing changes at NAR, 'cause folks are feelin' let down.

Callers kept ringin' in, with Jason Haber from the NAR Accountability Project straight-up sayin' the CEO should step down in disgrace. And Jose Cifuentes, a Keller Williams agent, he's like, "How we gonna keep payin' dues to an org that's messin' up our business?"

The chat's blowin' up, too, with peeps askin', "What's this mean for NAR and the big brand brokerages?" Byron's layin' it down, sayin' NAR's relationship with these brokerages is gonna change, no doubt. And let's not forget the elephant in the room – those sexual harassment allegations hangin' over NAR's head.

But here's the kicker, y'all. It ain't just NAR catchin' heat. The whole industry's gettin' a side-eye for not showin' enough value as buyer's agents. Folks are sayin' the commissions are inflated, and buyers are wonderin' why they even need an agent.

Then we got Stu Jacobson and Andrew Caniff droppin' knowledge 'bout transparency and value propositions. It's like the industry's been sleepin' on the job, and now they're payin' the price.

Byron's wrappin' it up, sayin' the coverage of the case was tight, but the evidence? Not so much. Still, the jury wasn't havin' it, and they slapped the industry with a near $1.8 billion verdict. And who's sittin' pretty? Tech companies like Zillow, 'cause they're gettin' cozy with the customers.

So, what's next for the agents? Byron's preachin' 'bout educatin' and elevatin' the game. It's 'bout bein' all in, havin' high standards, and treatin' every moment like a job interview.

And for those feelin' shook, Katt's got some wisdom: Get back to your business, serve your clients like never before, and hustle three times harder this winter. 'Cause in the end, it's all 'bout bein' a professional.

Game-Changer Alert: Dive Into Zillow's $400 Million Power Play in Real Estate Tech!

So, Zillow Group, they're not playing small ball anymore. They're stepping up to the major leagues with a power move, dropping a cool $400 million to scoop up a top-notch real estate customer relationship management (CRM) system. The company they're snagging is Follow Up Boss, straight outta San Francisco.

Now, here's the kicker: Zillow isn't just throwing down the cash and walking away. They're potentially adding another $100 million in a cash earnout. That's what I call having skin in the game. And it's not just the tech they're acquiring; nearly 100 full-timers, including the brains behind the operation, co-founders Dan Corkill and Tom Markov, are jumping ship to Zillow Group once the deal's sealed.

But here's the thing: Follow Up Boss isn't getting swallowed up. They're staying their own brand, continuing to hustle and build their client base as a standalone product. Being under Zillow's wing means they can double down on improving their offerings, making sure their clients are dishing out top-notch customer experiences.

Susan Daimler, the big boss over at Zillow, she's all about investing in tech solutions to smooth out the ride for agents and customers alike. She's betting big on Follow Up Boss, calling it the best CRM for agents and teams in the industry. And she's not just talking the talk; she's walking the walk, backing them to keep knocking it out of the park for buyers and sellers.

Now, let's talk privacy because that's the name of the game. Both Zillow and Follow Up Boss are putting customer data privacy front and center. They're bringing in a third-party validator to make sure all that data stays locked up tight under Follow Up Boss's terms of use and privacy policy.

Follow Up Boss, they're not shy about calling themselves a "world-class CRM" with an open API that gives real estate pros a flexible toolbox to play with. And Zillow, they're not new to this game. They've been beefing up their tech arsenal, snapping up dotloop, a real estate transaction management solution, and ShowingTime, a showing management and market stats tech provider.

So, what's the bottom line? Zillow's making moves, big moves. And in the high-stakes world of real estate tech, it's go big or go home. That's how you play the game if you want to win. And from where I'm sitting, Zillow's playing to win.

Forecast or Folly? Let’s Decode November's Mortgage Rate Mysteries!

So, we're looking at the November mortgage rates, and what we're seeing is a bit of a rollercoaster ride, just like we saw in October. Rates were acting up, climbing above 8% for many borrowers. That's a level we haven't seen since *NSYNC was tearing up the charts back in 2000. That's right, we're talking "It's Gonna Be Me" days. And for some of today's mortgage applicants, that's a throwback to their grade school years!

Now, let's talk about the Fed. They've been on a mission to tame inflation, raising short-term interest rates a whopping 11 times, totaling 5.25 percentage points, since March 2022. And guess what? It's working. Inflation has cooled down from a scorching 8.9% in June 2022 to a more manageable 3.7% in September this year. But the Fed's not done yet. They've got their eyes on a 2% inflation rate, and getting there is going to be like trying to lose those last stubborn 10 pounds.

As we head into November, the Fed's taking a breather, keeping short-term interest rates steady. But if inflation decides to stick around like unwanted guests at a barbecue, the Fed's ready to turn up the heat again. Financial markets are betting there's about a 25% chance of another rate hike come December.

So, what's the forecast for mortgage rates in November? πŸ‘‡

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